Tag: Psycho

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Psych-inflation

The economic narrative and measurement of inflation is incomplete without the proper account of the psychology of the price building process and mechanisms. After the 2 previous oil-crises of 1973 and 1979, the panic about not having enough oil and derivatives within the coming months, has lead to prices increases almost instantly. Despite the fact that there is enough oil floating on ships and in pipelines for 3-6 months, depending on estimates, the psychological effect of being eventually short of oil creates “Psych-inflation”. Oil markets use the “Angst of disruption” to make additional profits on people and enterprises’ hoarding behavior. There are powerful interests to exploit such potential shortages as it is a suitable time to reap some extra profits, particularly for those who knew early about a likely military conflict.

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AI and Social sycophancy

The study by Myra Chen et al. (2026) on the practical use of various AI tools demonstrates the risks of social sycophancy of these models. Maybe a large part of the initial success of AI models exactly due to sycophancy i. e. the people-pleasing, flattering and affirmative bias of these models. If users of AI just receive predominantly confirmations and reassurance of their intended behavior, they shall be less inclined to accept more outright criticism in normal interactions with real people. The more you receive flattering responses by some people, the more likely they have used AI in preparing themselves for a response. The rigorous psychological tests applied in the paper can in fact explain a large part of why we are likely to become addicted to the always flattering responses from the current versions of AI. Only the scientists will consciously seek for disapproval of their beliefs and keep challenging the AI-provided returns. Even using different AI models did not change the affirmation bias. Maybe programming a “grumpy old professor AI” as an alternative could do the trick. I shall have to think seriously about this as the alternative to current models. The critical AI is most likely not a viable business opportunity, but it might survive many other sycophantic AI unicorns. (Image: waist coat 18th century, Paris exhibit Musée de la mode 2026). 

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Dementia Prevention

The United Nations reports on countries’ activities like dementia prevention plans. Focus is on the medical sociological analysis in which dementia is not only determined by a person’s individual life course, but it is also a society-level issue. Looking at dementia prevalence and incidence over time as well as major known risk factors, Mukadam et al. (2024) conclude that low education level, smoking, obesity, hypertension and diabetes all contribute substantially to the risk of dementia. The trick with education is simple. If you start on a dementia trajectory from a high level of education, it will take longer until you are fully dependent on other persons. For the other causes there intrinsic or genetic components, but a large share of dementia risks can be reduced through behavioral changes early in life. My all time and all ages favorite is walk whenever and as long as you can.

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Time Response

Time enters in many studies of behavior as response time. It could be summerized under a mechanism defined as “action – reaction” in many instances. In the animal model this is studied not only from external stimuli and bodily reactions, but with direct brain or nerve stimulation and subsequent reactions in other parts of the body.
Within humans the same rationale is widely acknowledged as well (Kimura2023). In many processes it is not no longer a question, whether a response will occur, but the differences in response time play a crucial role, for example in processes of aging. In many mental processes, response time is a fairly reliable indicator of aging as response time increases and the reaction is slowed down. The focus then shifts on strategies how to keep response times within usual boundaries. Eliminating or at least reducing disturbing peripheral influences like noise or light as distractions become an issue. In jazz music, the “call – response” mechanism has entered as a successful element in composition and improvisation. Time and response or response time is a highly passionate, physiologic and emotional issue.

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Dual Task Processing

Extensive research into dual task performance shows that training of 2 tasks simultaneously can indeed enhance performance. New research by Schubert et al. (2025) indicates that there latent and persistent bottlenecks to the brain’s processing of such dual tasks, let alone multi-tasking. Out of own anecdotal exercise with “object tracking and touch” (gaming on tablet) a learning effect arises. However, it is unclear, whether this exercise translates to normal traffic situations in inner city situations for pedestrians or cyclists. The experiment of a dual task, combining a visual-manual and an auditory-verbal task, indicates also training effects, but the brain appears to return to sequential processing rather than simultaneous processing as much as it can. Such a dual task test may consist in juggling while singing a song or even leading a conversation with somebody. Quite a challenge or exhausting mental training even for those with a history of juggling objects.

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Trust or not to trust

… that is the question. The social science research on trust, distrust or corruption is expanding rapidly. As in some other fields of research the increase in research itself becomes an issue of trust in science as the uncontrolled use of AI has produced an inflation of pseudo-scientific papers as well (Link). However, the finding by Spadaro et al. (2020) that interpersonal trust (trusting beliefs and behavior) is influenced by a general feeling of security as well as trust in institutions is supported by experimental and interview-based research.
There are still many challenges to the research in this field. The “feeling of security” has an overall component, but also several subcategories like the objective or subjective feeling of job security, which is dependent on national and collective systems of employment protection legislation. Economic security or security of a sufficient retirement income might be at times considered more important than (in-)security in cities or the countryside. Differences of the mechanisms by gender and age have to be studied in detail as well, which necessitates large data collections on the issues. Churches that used to be considered as trustworthy institutions or the police forces have been accused of abuses of the high trust placed in them in the last few years. These 2 examples demonstrate that trust itself is a dynamic issue with ups and downs over time, rarely constant over time. Game theoretical considerations add further to the view that trust might be used as a strategy just like economic power. (Image: Cathedrale de Meaux) 

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Being On Time

“Being on time” has a different meaning,  depending on the society and culture you are living in. Of course, this tends to reinforce stereotypes and raises expectations about the punctuality, the respect of time as a means to effectively synchronize human behavior and its interaction with technology. Train or bus services are commonly referred to in this context. However, our interest here is with the wider margins or, statistically speaking, the normal or not so normal distribution around a specific point in time.
Colloquially we refer to these time periods as being late (more common) or as being early (less common). Add to this perspective that you may be very late (early) or too late (early) and we are going to really deal with the spice of life. Just think of the last instances when you were late, very late or too late.
The same rationale of a “statistical view of time” can inform the sociology of technology. Some innovations can come too early for society to be ready to deal with it, or they may come too late to save us from disaster.
Genetic engineering of human cells is an issue in this regard, both too early for wider applications, but too late for persons in need of curing a specific diagnosis. There is an additional social-psychological aspect to the cognitive process of being on time. It is the cognitive dissonance of what you expect from yourself or somebody else and the actual experience of not being on time which causes stress. Societal norms of being on time can contribute substantially as well to the overall mental load associated with time. Take it easy.  

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Time as surprise

Sometimes, time comes as surprise. Time seems to run faster as we perceive it, or time might pass more slowly in actual terms than we perceive or think it does. What makes the difference? There is the objective measure of time with various types of clocks and watches versus the subjective or perceived lapse of time. The discrepancy between the two constitutes an interesting case for further study. Marketing strategies will try to make us believe that a specific kind of product will shorten or lengthen the difference between objective and subjective time. The entertainment industry works very hard on our perception of time relative to one or the other form of entertainment. The best result seems to be that objective time has been much longer than perceived time so that we “lost” our reference to time while being entertained. The so-called social media interaction is rather successful in this form of entertainment, infotainment or edutainment. The moments in life when time comes as a surprise might be great ones in our lives. Particular deviations between objective and subjective time make strong impressions on our memories, too. 

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Time and Emotions

In psychology, time and emotions are a matter of milli- or even nanoseconds. Showing emotions, intrinsic ones or controlled ones is passing rapidly through our brain and, for example, facial muscles. Hence, time plays a role in how we react emotionally to an image or any event. The author Rüdiger Safranski starts his history of the concept of time with the emotional experience that time appears lengthy or tedious. In his view the emotional understanding of the concept of time is key to a better grasp of the philosophical roots of the concept of time. Starting with Greek philosophers, the Stoic tradition, Augustinus, the history of ideas is full of reflections on time, what it does to us, and how we best deal with the effects time has on us. In famous literature from Marcel Proust or Samuel Becket, we were reminded of the creative power of lengthy periods of time and the importance or futility to ask fundamental questions about time and our destiny. Beyond the rational thinking about time, the emotional experience of time makes up much of the spice of life. 

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Social time

What does the „social“ have to do with time. Well, time is a perfect case of a social construction or a fundamentally social construct. The definition of time as „Greenwich mean time“ is nothing but a useful socio-political statement to synchronize time across the world, or previously an imperium. Points in time, as shown on a clock(s), can be helpful to synchronize human behavior. We might want to show up on the same point in time to start or end work. Of course there are thousands of ways in which such synchronization might go awfully wrong. This makes for splendid drama and movies have a long history to capture our attention on this matter. Social expectations, a social, psychological, and even a biological concept in extreme cases (Pavlov effect) make many of us to get a bit itchy, if time is getting short to meet other persons or an expected event is going to happen. A lot of social pressure is transmitted through the ticking away of time. The mechanism to internalize social patterns (for example prayer), via time and the clock, is quite powerful and has been used in movies throughout the history of the cinema. Even the individual endpoint in time is in almost all cases a shared social experience and turns into a kind of socially relevant time. (Take your time to watch The Clock by Christian Marclay).